新加坡南洋理工大学潘则建教授来清华土木系进行学术交流
2017年2月21日上午，新加坡南洋理工大学巨灾风险管理研究院(Institute of Catastrophe Risk Management, Nanyang Technological University)院长潘则建(Tso-Chien PAN)教授应邀来清华大学土木工程系进行学术交流。潘则建教授介绍了南洋理工大学在巨灾风险管理方面的学术进展以及未来的发展方向，同时也听取了清华大学在高层抗震、区域防灾等方面的工作介绍，双方进行了深入的交流，本次学术活动圆满完成。
报告题目：Catastrophe Risk Management of Asia
Professor Tso-Chien PAN
Executive Director, Institute ofCatastrophe Risk Management
Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
ABSTRACT: Asia’s population growth andrapid urbanization are the key drivers of future risks in the rapidly growingregion of Asia and Southeast Asia. With urban population increasingdramatically worldwide, cities are playing an increasingly critical role in humansocieties and their sustainability.
The world has just crossed a major landmarkin its history with the majority of people now living in cities. This has justhappened to China as well based on its latest censor results. Thus, a majorchallenge worldwide, and particularly so for Asia and Southeast Asia, is tounderstand and predict how dynamics resulting from population growth and rapidurbanization will impact the interactions between nature and human society.During the past five decades, the largest human and economic losses due tocatastrophic events have occurred in Asia. In year 2011 alone, the world sawits highest natural catastrophe loss of US$380 billions due mainly to Asia andSoutheast Asia disasters – the devastating Thailand flood and the massive Japanearthquake followed by tsunami and nuclear reactors meltdown.
Recently, the population data of majorurban conglomerates show that Asia has 11 out of the top 15 urban conglomeratesof the world, with population >26 millions. Population growth and rapidurbanization of Asia and Southeast Asia thus present special challenges tocatastrophe risk management. The urban-based risks can possibly involve therisk domains of natural catastrophes and manmade disasters, which may coverwind/flood effects, earthquake shakings, infrastructure security, terrorism,pandemic, for example. The interaction of complex adaptive dynamic behavior ofsocietal response to catastrophes with the cascading failure of interdependentnetworks of infrastructural systems is a massive challenge for dealing with thedomain of evolving new urban-based risks.
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